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British Journal of Dermatology

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match British Journal of Dermatology's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Multi-biobank genome-wide association study of dermatochalasis implicates genes involved in skin biology and morphology

Rajueni, K.; Koskimaki, F.; Salo, V.; Pasanen, A.; Sliz, E.; Vanhala, S.; Reis, K.; Reigo, A.; FinnGen, ; Estonian Biobank Research Team, ; Palta, P.; Tasanen, K.; Liinamaa, J.; Kettunen, J.; Saarela, V.; Karjalainen, M. K.

2026-08-06 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.08.04.26359692 medRxiv
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Objective: The objective of this study was to detect genetic factors associated with dermatochalasis using a genome-wide association study (GWAS) across three large cohorts. Design: GWAS meta-analysis Participants: A total of 13,200 dermatochalasis cases and 962,513 controls were included. Methods: A GWAS meta-analysis of dermatochalasis combining data from the FinnGen, the Estonian Biobank and the UK Biobank was conducted. We also performed colocalization analyses, a phenome-wide association study and age-at-onset analysis, and assessed genetic correlations with various diseases and traits. Main outcome measures: Identification of genetic variants associated with dermatochalasis. Results: We identified 18 loci associated with dermatochalasis at genome-wide significance, 16 of which were novel. Most of these loci had genes involved in skin biology and cutaneous diseases, such as the genes encoding elastin (ELN) and Latent TGF-{beta} binding protein 1 (LTBP1). Phenome-wide association study revealed previous associations with morphology-related traits, while genetic correlation analysis highlighted multiple genetic correlations, especially with smoking and pain. Conclusions: We detected 18 genetic loci associated with dermatochalasis, characterized these loci in detail and demonstrated their relevance in skin biology and related processes. These findings give novel information on the genetic background of dermatochalasis and provide a solid basis for further research.

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Spatial Geometry and Prevalence of Tunneling and Undermining in Pressure Ulcers

Frade, S.; Tunyiswa, Z.; Shin, M.; Dirks, R.

2026-09-01 dermatology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361615 medRxiv
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Background: Pressure ulcers often develop complex three-dimensional morphologies that extend beyond the visible wound surface. Subsurface extensions such as tunneling and undermining create hidden cavities that complicate clinical assessment and wound management. Despite their clinical relevance, the prevalence and spatial characteristics of these subsurface wound morphologies have not been well characterized at scale. Methods: We performed a registry-based analysis using data from the LIFT-OFF Pressure Ulcer Registry, which captures longitudinal clinical documentation of pressure ulcers treated in routine care. The registry included approximately 18,000 patients with 32,000 documented pressure ulcers. Spatial characteristics of tunneling and undermining were analyzed using measurements recorded during routine wound assessments, including tract length, direction, and circumferential extent. Directional and circumferential distributions of subsurface defects were examined to characterize wound geometry. Results: Tunneling was present in 764 of 14,700 full-thickness pressure ulcers (5.2%), whereas undermining occurred in 2,293 wounds (15.6%). Tunneling tracts were typically short and exhibited directional clustering relative to the wound bed. In contrast, undermining demonstrated broader circumferential distributions and frequently involved larger subsurface separations beneath the wound margin. Both morphologies demonstrated distinct spatial patterns across anatomical locations and wound stages. Conclusion: Tunneling and undermining are common subsurface features of pressure ulcers and exhibit distinct spatial geometries. Whereas tunneling manifests as directional tract-like extensions, undermining more frequently produces circumferential tissue separation beneath wound margins. Improved characterization of subsurface wound architecture may enhance assessment of wound complexity and provide information not captured by surface measurements alone. Future studies should evaluate whether these features contribute to wound severity assessment, prognosis, and risk stratification.

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State tanning bed availability is associated with early-onset Melanoma incidence in the Midwest and Southern United States

Graffam, D.; Semprini, J.

2026-08-24 dermatology 10.64898/2026.08.21.26361039 medRxiv
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Despite known carcinogenic properties, indoor tanning remains popular among young adults and may contribute to early-onset melanoma. Our study aims to compare early-onset melanoma incidence by state availability of tanning beds. We analyzed population-based melanoma incidence data (2019-2023) from the National Program of Cancer Registries and calculated Incidence Rate Ratios (IRR) using verified state-level quintiles of tanning bed availability. Overall, in the Midwest/South regions, melanoma incidence increased with greater tanning-bed availability, from 8.7 cases per 100,000 population in Quintile 1 to 14.8 cases per 100,000 population in Quintile 5 (IRR = 1.69; CI = 1.65-1.74). No such relationship was found in the Northeast/West regions. In conclusion, we found that in Southern and Midwest states, increased availability of tanning beds was associated with higher early-onset melanoma in non-Hispanic White males and females, in both metro and non-metro counties. Policies which reduce tanning bed availability in high utilization regions may have potential to reduce early-onset melanoma.

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From Routine Pathology to Precision Oncology: Automated FFPE Tissue Processing for Large-Scale Molecular Studies

Guedes, J.; Sliwa-Gonzalez, A.; Szadai, L.; Geiger, P.; Woldmar, N.; Reyes, M. A.; Bastida, R. A.; Coto, D. L. F.; Oskolas, H.; Marko-Varga, M.; Schultz, L.; Appelqvist, R.; Wieslander, E.; Malm, J.; Marko-Varga, G.; Gil, J.

2026-08-13 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.08.12.744404 medRxiv
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Melanoma incidence continues to rise globally, with formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue archives representing an invaluable resource for large-scale retrospective proteomic studies. However, inconsistent deparaffinization remains a critical pre-analytical bottleneck limiting protein yield, reproducibility, and downstream data quality. In this study, we developed and validated a fully automated FFPE deparaffinization workflow using the Fluent(R) 780 liquid handling workstation (Tecan (C)) and evaluated its performance against a conventional manual protocol in a cohort of 54 patients with primary cutaneous melanoma, predominantly at early AJCC 8th edition stage I-II. The automated workflow achieved superior protein identification (6,146 {+/-} 860 vs. 4,941 {+/-} 1,091 proteins; p < 0.0001) with lower technical variability, while maintaining highly comparable global proteomic profiles as confirmed by principal component analysis and hierarchical clustering. A total of 8,305 proteins (96.1%) were identified by both methods, supporting the reproducibility and equivalence of the automated approach. Patients were stratified by the presence (N=21) or absence (N=33) of histological regression in the primary tumor. Proteomic comparison revealed 97 upregulated and 226 downregulated proteins in regressing melanomas, with pathway enrichment analysis demonstrating elevated mitochondrial and translational activity alongside reduced innate immune and complement pathway activation in the regression group. No statistically significant differences in overall, disease-free, or progression-free survival were observed between groups, consistent with the early-stage composition of the cohort. Digital pathology validated tissue morphology preservation across processing conditions. These findings support the integration of automated FFPE processing with proteomic and digital pathology workflows as a scalable platform for precision melanoma research. TOC Figure O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=133 SRC="FIGDIR/small/744404v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (49K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1d51629org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@a1f126org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1df1b0aorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@686f1c_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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Droplet Digital PCR as a First-Line Detection Tool in the Genetic Diagnosis of Vascular Anomalies

Lane, T.; Green, T. E.; Garza, D.; Brown, N. J.; de Silva, M. G.; Bennett, M. F.; Tubb, C.; Macdonald, S. M. W.; Gascoigne, A.; Phillips, R. J.; Slavin, J.; D'Arcy, C.; MacGregor, D.; Clifford, A.; Pathmanathan, L.; Robertson, S. J.; Bekhor, P.; Simpson, J.; Gooley, S.; Scheffer, I. E.; Berkovic, S. F.; Penington, A. J.; Hildebrand, M.

2026-08-14 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.11.26359368 medRxiv
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Targeted precision therapies are increasingly used in the treatment of individuals with vascular anomalies (VAs). This increases the need for rapid, accurate and inexpensive genetic diagnosis. Droplet digital polymerase chain reaction (ddPCR) is an alternative to next-generation sequencing (NGS), permitting rapid, highly sensitive interrogation of recurrent pathogenic mosaic variants. We examined the feasibility of ddPCR as a primary diagnostic tool in a large cohort of individuals with VAs. Lesional tissue was collected for ddPCR of up to 46 recurrent pathogenic variants across 16 genes associated with VAs. Specimens were assessed on a subset of assays for each individual based on clinical phenotype. Most individuals who had negative ddPCR results went on to high-depth gene panel or deep exome NGS, or Sanger sequencing. Here we report the phenotypic and molecular findings for 78 newly recruited and tested individuals in addition to the 60 individuals already reported from our cohort. The overall diagnostic yield for our cohort when combined with individuals previously reported was 104/138 (75%). Of 138 individuals tested, recurrent pathogenic variants were detected in 71 (51%) on ddPCR. Variants were most frequently identified in PIK3CA (n=28), TEK (n=18), GNAQ (n=12), or MAP2K1 (n=7). In a further 33 individuals, pathogenic variants were identified on NGS or Sanger sequencing. Our findings indicate that ddPCR is an efficient method achieving a high diagnostic yield in our cohort when used prior to sequencing.

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Genetic Determinants of Chemotherapy-Induced Oral Mucositis in Children with Solid Malignancies

Chawla, A.; Halman, A.; See, M.; Grobler, A. C.; Rossello, F.; Moore, C.; Carter, S. M.; Conyers, R.

2026-08-07 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.05.26359776 medRxiv
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Background: Oral mucositis is a clinically significant, potentially severe side effect of systemic chemotherapy in children with cancer. Understanding genetic predisposition to this side effect may assist in development of stratified prophylactic and treatment strategies. However, existing literature primarily focuses on children with haematological malignancies. Methods: We performed a candidate gene study of 101 children with solid tumours enrolled in the MARVEL-PIC study at the Royal Children's Hospital, Melbourne. Clinical data were extracted from the electronic medical record, with NCI-CTCAE v6.0 grade >2 oral mucositis defined as the primary outcome. Genetic variants previously associated with oral mucositis were analysed under an additive genetic model to identify significant associations. Exploratory gene-drug interactions were identified based on chemotherapy exposure. Results: 29 patients (28.7%) developed grade >2 oral mucositis. MTHFR A1298C (rs1801131) was associated with lower odds of grade >2 oral mucositis, lower peak mucositis grade, and lower odds of opioid use for oral mucositis. 25 exploratory gene-drug interaction signals were identified, including miR-1206 rs2114358 with methotrexate exposure and ABCB1 rs1045642 with anthracycline exposure. Conclusions: MTHFR A1298C (rs1801131) demonstrated a protective effect against chemotherapy-induced oral mucositis in our cohort of children with solid tumours. Larger, ancestry-informed studies are required to validate our findings.

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A germline KDM3C polymorphism impairs DNA repair and sensitizes to chemoradiotherapy

Hasan, A.; Demidova, E. V.; Priyadarshini, P.; Czyzewicz, P.; Gathuka, L.; Murayama, T.; Zhou, Y.; Kiss, Z. A.; Shastry, R. K.; Andrake, M.; Hearne, G.; Devarajan, K.; Wu, C.; Shah, A.; Schultz, B. M.; Connolly, D. C.; Rosen, G. L.; Canadas, I.; Liu, J. C.; Burtness, B. A.; Smith, J. J.; Dunbrack, R. L.; Golemis, E. A.; Whetstine, J. R.; Meyer, J. E.; Arora, S.

2026-08-31 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.26.26360896 medRxiv
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Chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is the standard-of-care therapy for many solid malignancies, yet predictive biomarkers of treatment response remain limited. We identified a germline single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in an intrinsically disordered region of the lysine demethylase KDM3C/JMJD1C (p.S464T) that is associated with CRT outcomes in locally advanced rectal cancers (LARC) and head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (LA-HNSCC). In silico modeling with AlphaFold predicted S464T substitution influenced interaction between phosphorylated KDM3C and RNF8 FHA domain. In cellular models, conversion of S464 to T464 increased sensitivity to DNA-damaging agents. S464T substitution impaired damage-induced MDC1-RAP80 signaling and downstream RAP80-BRCA1 colocalization. SNP carrying cells impaired DNA repair causing genotoxic stress that is associated with increased cGAS-cGAMP innate immune signaling and increased apoptosis. Population analyses with the SNP highlighted an increase incidence of UV-induced skin and other cancers, linking inherited variation in the chromatin regulatory gene KDM3C to genome instability, cancer risk, and therapeutic vulnerability.

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Uveal and cutaneous melanoma share a common mutation with distinct prognostic implications: A bioinformatic study

Razmjooei, F.; Ashayeri, H.; Jafarzadeh, Z.; Dabbaghabdollahi, P.; Jafarizadeh, A.

2026-08-11 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.07.26359988 medRxiv
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Background: Uveal melanoma (UM) and cutaneous melanoma (CM) both originate from the same cell line. This proposes the possibility of a shared mechanism between entities, requiring explicit investigation. Methods: Data from GWAS Catalog and DisGeNET were used to identify shared variation-disease associations (VDAs) between UM and CM. The results were validated using the Ensembl database. In the next step, the STRING database was used to identify the protein-protein interaction. Results: Subsequently, 109 unique VDAs were identified for UM and 880 for CM. However, only 2 VDAs were found to be shared among UM and CM in different ethnic groups. These shared VDAs were rs12203592 of the IRF4 gene, rs12913832 of the HECT and RLD domain-containing E3 ubiquitin protein ligase 2 (HERC2) gene. Notably, PPI network assessment through STRING showcased that OCA2 and IRF4 directly interacted with HERC2. Conclusion: While HERC2 acts as a poor prognostic factor in uveal melanoma, IRF4 status is a key prognostic indicator in both UM and CM. Identifying IRF4 allele contributions enables a better understanding of melanoma pathogenesis and fosters the development of disease-specific approaches.

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Radiographically identified vertebral fractures in haemochromatosis-associated HFE C282Y homozygotes in the UK Biobank

Banfield, L. R.; Pilling, L. C.; Melzer, D.; Shearman, J.; Knapp, K.; Atkins, J. L.

2026-08-22 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.19.26360796 medRxiv
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Abstract Purpose: Haemochromatosis due to HFE-C282Y homozygosity can lead to excess iron absorption and is typically associated with liver malignancy, plus widespread arthritis. Recent evidence suggests that limb fractures are more common, but little is known about vertebral effects. This study investigated the association of vertebral compression fractures, assessed with intelligent dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (iDXA), and HFE genotype in a large community cohort. Methods: UK Biobank data from 227 European genetic ancestry C282Y homozygotes (mean 64.6 years) and 234 age, sex, and BMI-matched controls without common HFE haemochromatosis variants were included. Lateral vertebral assessment scans (iDXA, GE-Lunar) were acquired at imaging reassessment (2014-2020) and reviewed, blind to genotype, for radiological evidence of vertebral fracture. Matched logistic regression models assessed associations between C282Y homozygosity and vertebral fractures. Results: 78 vertebral fractures (16.9%) were identified within 461 participants. Male C282Y homozygotes had increased odds of vertebral fracture (n=22/89, 24.7%) compared to participants without HFE alleles (n=9/90, 10.0%); Odds Ratio [OR]: 2.95, 95%CI: 1.28-6.85, p=0.01. The association persisted after excluding individuals with a diagnosis of haemochromatosis (OR: 3.37, 95% CI: 1.41-8.10, p=0.007). No excess fracture risk was observed in female C282Y homozygotes (n=23/138, 16.7%) vs those without HFE alleles (n=24/144, 16.7%); OR: 0.99, 95%CI: 0.53-1.87, p=1.00. Conclusion: In this community-based imaging study, male HFE C282Y homozygotes had a markedly higher likelihood of vertebral fractures than those without HFE variants. These findings support further evaluation of vertebral fracture assessment in C282Y homozygous men to ensure prompt treatment to prevent future fracture if appropriate.

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Invasive Fungal Infection in Childhood Embryonal Brain Tumour Treatment: A 10-year Review

Carter, S. M.; Chawla, A.; Campbell, M.; Eisenstat, D. D.; Weerdenburg, H.; Khuong-Quang, D.-A.; Haeusler, G. M.

2026-08-17 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.13.26359732 medRxiv
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Background: Invasive fungal infection (IFI) is well recognised in children with acute leukaemia and allogeneic haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation but is poorly characterised in children with brain tumours. Children receiving intensive therapy for embryonal brain tumours (EBTs) have multiple potential risk exposures including corticosteroids, central venous access, neurosurgical devices, mucosal injury and myelosuppressive chemotherapy with, in selected protocols, autologous stem-cell rescue. Methods: We performed a single-centre retrospective cohort study of children aged 0-18 years treated for EBTs between 2015-2025. IFIs were classified as proven, probable, possible, or modified possible using EORTC/MSGERC and TERIFIC criteria. Clinical characteristics, treatment exposures, timing, microbiology and outcomes were described. IFI prevalence was calculated using exact binomial confidence intervals. Exploratory Cox proportional hazards analyses assessed associations with clinical and treatment factors. Results: Seventy-seven patients were included. Fourteen patients experienced 15 IFI episodes, giving a patient-level IFI prevalence of 18.2% (95% CI, 10.3-28.6%). Proven or probable IFI occurred in seven patients (9.1%; 95% CI, 3.7-17.8%). Nine episodes had microbiological evidence. Non-mould pathogens predominated, accounting for six of nine identified pathogens. Treatment on ACNS0334/ACNS0333 was associated with a lower hazard of proven/probable IFI compared with SJMB12 (HR 0.062; 95% CI, 0.002-0.78; p=0.031). Two patients had chemotherapy delays exceeding one month, one had persistent infection at 12 months; no deaths were directly attributed to IFI. Three patients received antifungal prophylaxis. Conclusion: Rates of IFI following intensive embryonal brain tumour therapy were comparable to those in other high-risk oncology populations. Local consideration of antifungal prophylaxis is warranted.

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Loss to Follow-Up Among Patients with Kaposi Sarcoma at the Ocean Road Cancer Institute, Tanzania: A Fine-Gray Competing-Risks Analysis of Death as a Competing Event

Lugina, E. L.; Mwita, C. J.; Nyamhanga, T. L.; Lidenge, S. J.; Ngowi, J. R.; Kahesa, C. L.; Wood, C.; Mwaiselage, J. D.

2026-08-28 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361391 medRxiv
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Purpose Kaposi sarcoma (KS) remains one of the most common HIV-associated malignancies in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). While loss to follow-up (LTFU) has been well documented among KS patients managed within HIV primary care, little is known about retention after patients transition into specialized oncology care, where treatment pathways, toxicities, costs, and follow-up schedules differ substantially. Because LTFU is unlikely to occur at random, patients who disengage from care may differ systematically from those retained with respect to disease severity, treatment response, and mortality risk, potentially biasing survival estimates and underestimating cancer-related mortality. This study aimed to estimate the cumulative incidence of LTFU among patients with KS receiving care at Tanzanias national cancer referral center, accounting for death as a competing event, and to identify factors associated with LTFU. Methods This retrospective cohort study included 251 patients with KS treated at Ocean Road Cancer Institute (ORCI) between January 2021 and December 2023. The primary outcome was LTFU, with death treated as a competing event. Cumulative incidence of LTFU at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months was estimated using the cumulative incidence function. Predictors of LTFU were assessed using univariable and multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards regression. Results Among 251 patients, 214 (85.3%) had epidemic (HIV-associated) KS and 37 (14.7%) had endemic (non-HIV-associated) KS. Males accounted for 62.2%. Accounting for death as a competing event, the cumulative incidence of LTFU was 27.6% (95% CI, 22.0-33.1) at 6 months, 36.4% (95% CI, 30.5-42.4) at 12 months, 43.3% (95% CI, 37.2-49.4) at 18 months, and 46.6% (95% CI, 40.4-52.7) at 24 months. In multivariable Fine-Gray regression, absence of oral involvement (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR], 0.37), reachable telephone contact (aSHR, 0.54), and initial chemotherapy rather than radiotherapy (aSHR, 0.44) were independently associated with lower risk of LTFU. Conclusion Nearly half of patients with KS were LTFU within two years, substantially limiting reliable assessment of cancer outcomes in this setting. Strengthening retention strategies, including maintaining reliable patient contact information and implementing routine phone-based follow-up, may offer feasible, scalable approaches to improve continuity of care, enhance survival monitoring, and strengthen cancer surveillance in resource-limited settings.

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Isoform-specific regulation of SMARCAD1 dosage in ectodermal homeostasis and dysplasia

Seibert, M.; Kursawe, L.; Lang, M.; Pöschel, E. N.; Thiemig, F. K.; Kim, P.; Gutenkunst, L.; Schlundt, A.; Tikkanen, R.; Mermoud, J. E.

2026-08-20 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.08.17.745107 medRxiv
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Haploinsufficiency is a common cause of developmental disorders, yet the mechanisms regulating protein abundance of dosage-sensitive genes remain incompletely understood. SMARCAD syndrome comprises inherited ectodermal dysplasias caused by mutations affecting SMARCAD1-s, the skin-specific short isoform of the ATP-dependent chromatin remodeller SMARCAD1. Here, we show that independent patient-derived mutations impair splicing of this isoform, resulting in intron retention. Although total mRNA abundance is reduced, spliced transcripts remain translationally competent and yield variably reduced levels of wild-type protein, providing evidence for a threshold-dependent haploinsufficiency model of disease. Under physiological conditions, the isoform-specific non-coding exon 1 dampens protein production without altering transcript levels, revealing previously unrecognized post-transcriptional control of SMARCAD1-s dosage. Our findings implicate upstream open reading frames as candidate mediators of translational control. Unexpectedly, SMARCAD1-s exhibits regulated nucleocytoplasmic distribution. Functional analyses identify two nuclear localization signals that differentially contribute to localization of the SMARCAD1 isoforms. Together, our findings clarify the molecular basis of SMARCAD syndrome and identify post-transcriptional and spatial mechanisms controlling the abundance and localization of a dosage-sensitive chromatin remodeller, providing insight into protein dosage control.

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Parental smoking in children consulting for respiratory diseases in Switzerland

Krasnova, T.; Zarkovic, M.; Nigg, C.; Sasaki, M.; Ganbat, M.; Casaulta, C.; Moeller, A.; Kuehni, C. E.

2026-08-18 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.17.26360586 medRxiv
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Background Exposure to environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) negatively affects children`s health, but few studies examined parental smoking behaviour in families of children with respiratory diseases. We studied parental smoking prevalence, characteristics, and changes over one year among families in the Swiss Paediatric Airway Cohort (SPAC). Methods We included children aged 0-17 years referred to paediatric respiratory outpatient clinics in Switzerland from 2017 to 2024. Parents answered a questionnaire at the initial clinic visit and again after one year. We used multivariable logistic regression to explore the characteristics of mothers and fathers who smoked and assessed changes in smoking behavior over one year. Results Among 4,199 children (median age 9 years [IQR 5-12]), 31% were exposed to parental smoking at baseline (paternal smoking: 16%; maternal smoking: 6%; both parents smoking: 9%). Mothers were more likely to smoke if they had a lower education level (OR 2.0, 95%CI 1.6-2.5 for compulsory education vs university education), did not have Swiss nationality (OR 1.3, 1.0-1.6) and lived in a socially disadvantaged neighborhood (OR 1.3, 1.0-1.7). Similar associations were observed for fathers. In addition, fathers were more likely to smoke if they were unemployed (OR 2.0, 1.3-3.2 vs having a full-time job. The strongest predictor of smoking was having a partner who smoked, with ORs above 6 for both mothers and fathers. Parents of 2,338 children completed the one-year follow-up questionnaire. Data from 2226 mothers and 1895 fathers showed that among baseline smokers with follow-up data, 225 (78%) mothers and 382 (81%) of fathers continued smoking, and only 63 (22%) of mothers and 90 (19%) of fathers quit. Among baseline non-smokers, 47 (2%) mothers and 54 (3%) fathers started smoking. Conclusions One-third of children consulting respiratory specialists in Switzerland are exposed to parental smoking. ETS exposure was strongly associated with socio-economic factors. Even after visiting a specialized clinic, most parents continued to smoke. This highlights the urgent need for stronger national smoking policies and targeted support to help these parents quit and stay smoke-free.

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Performance of general-population breast cancer risk prediction models in an international consortium

Brantley, K. D.; Ahearn, T. U.; Norton, E. L.; MacInnis, R.; Palmer, J. R.; Fortner, R. T.; Vachon, C. M.; Beane-Freeman, L.; Berrington de Gonzalez, A.; Frost, R.; Bertrand, K. A.; Zirpoli, G.; Neuhouser, M. L.; Barnett, M.; Teras, L. R.; Hodge, J. M.; Patel, A. V.; Bodelon, C.; Lacey, J. V.; Spielfogel, E. S.; Rohan, T. E.; Kirsh, V. A.; Langseth, H.; Tsuruda, K. M.; Milne, R. L.; Haiman, C.; Scott, C. G.; Eliassen, A. H.; Rosner, B.; Willett, W. C.; Romanos-Nanclares, A.; Chen, Y.; Wu, F.; Zheng, W.; Long, J.; O'Brien, K. M.; Sandler, D. P.; Kitahara, C. M.; Linet, M. S.; Anderson, G.; Lars

2026-08-23 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.20.26360899 medRxiv
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Background: Several breast cancer (BC) risk prediction models have been developed to provide personal risk assessments. Though individually validated, their performance has not been systematically evaluated across a wide range of populations or ages. Methods: We harmonized individual-level baseline questionnaire data and incident BC diagnoses from 21 cohorts from North America, Europe, and Australia participating in the Breast Cancer Risk Prediction Project. Five-year absolute risk of invasive BC was estimated for five established risk prediction models using classical risk factors only. Discrimination was evaluated by area under the curve (AUC). Calibration was assessed using average and risk-decile specific expected to observed (E/O) ratios. Performance metrics were meta-analyzed across cohorts and models. Metaregression tested associations between cohort characteristics and performance metrics. Results: This analysis included 1,595,977 women aged 20-75 years, enrolled in studies between 1976-2015, with 19,062 (1.2%) invasive BC cases ascertained within 5 years from exposure assessment. Age-adjusted AUCs were similar across models and cohorts (pooled AUCs by model: 0.57-0.58), while E/O ratios varied substantially (pooled E/O ratios by model: 0.83-1.25). Overestimation was common among predicted high-risk individuals (>3%). No appreciable differences in model performance by cohort age, birth year, race, and variable missingness emerged. Calibration improved after assigning race-specific incidence rates. Conclusion: Existing BC risk prediction models provided similar risk discrimination across multiple cohorts, although there was overestimation of risk for high-risk individuals. Performance variation across cohorts was not driven by specific characteristics, which supports development of a unified risk model for diverse populations that leverages appropriate incidence rates.

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Population Differences in the Epidemiology, Phenotype, and Genetics of Hirschsprung Disease in the United States

Fu, M.; Berk-Rauch, H. E.; Erazo, M.; Chatterjee, S.; Chakravarti, A.

2026-08-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.10.26360052 medRxiv
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Importance: Understanding population differences in epidemiology, clinical presentation, and genetic architecture remains a major challenge for all rare genetic disorders. Hirschsprung disease (HSCR), despite being the commonest cause of neonatal intestinal obstruction, has been poorly studied with respect to its significant heterogeneity across U.S. populations. Objective: To characterize self-identified race and ethnicity differences in HSCR incidence, clinical presentation, and genetic architecture in the United States from diverse data sources. Design, Setting, and Participants: We used retrospective, population-based surveillance data from 3 independent US wide sources - (1) The National Birth Defects Prevention Network (NBDPN; 1996-2010), (2) aggregated electronic health record data from Epic COSMOS (1997-2025), and (3) individual level clinical and genomic data from the Hirschsprung Disease Research Collaborative (HDRC; 2011-2025). Statistical analyses of incident HSCR cases identified at birth, across time and geography, in conjunction with clinical phenotypes and genome sequences from unrelated HDRC probands were performed to characterize epidemiologic, phenotypic and genetic heterogeneity in HSCR. Exposures: HSCR cases were identified based on standardized clinical diagnostic criteria, primarily rectal biopsy with histopathologic confirmation of aganglionosis. The disease was defined using ICD-9-CM code 751.3, CDC/BPA code 751.30-751.34. and ICD-10-CM code Q43.1. Patients were classified by self-identified race and ethnicity (SIRE), with primary comparisons conducted between non-Hispanic Blacks/African Americans (Blacks) and non-Hispanic Whites (Whites). Main Outcomes and Measures: HSCR incidence and the frequency of clinical features were estimated overall and by SIRE. We also estimated the individual and total genetic burden of rare pathogenic coding variants and common noncoding regulatory variants at established HSCR genes by population. Results: Overall HSCR incidence in the U.S. was 2.04 per 10,000 live births (95% CI, 1.99-2.09) as previously estimated. We show, Blacks have the highest HSCR incidence (2.83-3.13 per 10 000 live births), in comparison to Whites (1.89-2.02) and Asians (1.54-1.98), a difference not previously ascertained from previous smaller cohorts from limited geographical regions. This difference persists across surveillance times and geography. This incidence difference from NBDPN is consistent with Epic COSMOS, a nation-wide, independent hospital-based data source. Clinically, Blacks are more likely to present with isolated HSCR and with milder manifestations at birth, including chronic severe constipation (CSC). Genetically, the burden of pathogenic coding variants did not differ between Blacks and Whites. However, Blacks had a significantly higher enrichment of two non-coding regulatory variants (rs199582499 and rs28735659) at the SOX10 gene locus, as compared with Whites. Conclusions and Relevance: This study demonstrates, for the first time, that Black HSCR patients in the U.S. have a higher incidence accompanied by milder clinical presentation and distinct noncoding regulatory SOX10 variants as compared to White patients. Nevertheless, Blacks are severely under-represented in U.S. studies of HSCR leading to significant health disparities in their care and management.

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Most published human disease RNA-seq cannot be uniformly reanalyzed: a population-scale audit of reprocessability in the Gene Expression Omnibus

Murad, A. B.

2026-08-11 bioinformatics 10.64898/2026.08.05.742891 medRxiv
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BackgroundReuse of archived transcriptomic data underpins a large and growing share of published genomics. Because differences in upstream processing confound cross-study comparison, uniform reprocessing compendia -- recount3, ARCHS4, DEE2, refine.bio, Expression Atlas -- are widely treated as the remedy, and their availability is routinely assumed at the point of study design. Whether that remedy is actually obtainable for the population of published disease RNA-seq has not been measured. Prior audits have characterised metadata completeness and deposition rates, but none has quantified, across the published population, what fraction of studies can be uniformly reprocessed or where in the path from publication to comparable counts that capability is lost. ResultsWe enumerated 1,124 MeSH disease descriptors exhaustively, retrieved 16,820 human RNA-seq series from the Gene Expression Omnibus, and audited the 3,631 bulk, Illumina-platform series of at least 25 samples under three independently pre-registered, tool-enforced analysis plans. Raw reads were publicly available for 94.1% of series under a dual-route evidence standard, but only 46.7% appeared in any uniform reprocessing compendium (bounds 46.7-57.2%) and only 27.3% were usably covered at a 90% run threshold (bounds 27.3-38.8%). Of the 3,418 series whose reads are public, 991 were usably covered, leaving 71.0% of read-public series reprocessed by nothing usable. Presence overstated usability: DEE2 was present for 30.2% of series but usable for 3.4%. Design attrition was independent and severe -- 24.7% met bulk primary-tissue case-control criteria, 7.4% additionally reached a minimum replication threshold counted on sample accessions, and 4.1% did so counted on distinct donors. Among the 199 series where donor identity resolves, 4.1% pass the replication criterion on donors against 15.1% on accessions, a 3.73-fold difference; across the census frame, accessions exceeded distinct donors by 2.65-fold (Manski bounds 1.09-10.77, Imbens-Manski 95% CI 1.07-11.88). Independently, 36.4% of series-to-disease attributions produced by a conventional keyword query were refuted by the curated MeSH headings of the series own linked publication. ConclusionsUniform reanalysis of published human disease RNA-seq is unavailable for most studies in the population audited, and the binding constraint is usable coverage rather than deposition of raw reads. The loss occurs at several independent layers with different remedies, and the coverage layer -- unlike the others -- is one that resource maintainers can act on. Automated retrieval further over-counts eligible studies, both by admitting designs outside scope and by assigning studies to diseases their publications do not support.

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Acute activation of autophagy enables growth plate regeneration following radiation-induced injury.

Mehrbani Azar, Y.; Nazaraliyev, A.; Avijgan, M.; Savendahl, L.; Blomgren, K.; Newton, P. T.

2026-08-25 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.08.24.746001 medRxiv
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Purpose Radiation injury to growth plates commonly leads to skeletal late complications including short stature, limb length-discrepancy, and scoliosis/kyphosis in pediatric oncology patients. We aimed to understand the acute responses of direct growth plate irradiation that result in skeletal late complications. Materials and methods We first established an in vivo model of focal growth plate irradiation that recapitulates the clinical development of skeletal late complications and used it to explore the responses of growth plate chondrocytes within the first 72 hours of radiation exposure. To monitor acute effects of radiation exposure on human chondrocytes, rare human growth plate biopsies were exposed to ionizing radiation ex vivo. Using these approaches, we applied clonal genetic tracing and immunofluorescence to monitor changes at the cellular and molecular levels. Functional in vivo perturbations were conducted with clinically-relevant autophagy inhibitor, hydroxychloroquine. Results Growth plate irradiation disrupted the continuous production of chondrocytes required for bone elongation and was associated with DNA damage throughout the growth plate. Indicators of growth plate activity, SOX9 and the phosphorylated form of ribosomal protein S6, decreased during a 6- and 24-hour post-irradiation window but returned to normal levels 72 hours after irradiation. We identified a surge in autophagic flux throughout the growth plate during this window, based on temporal SQSTM1 and LAMP1 protein levels. The earliest stages of these response mechanisms are conserved between species and relevant to humans. Hydroxychloroquine treatment immediately after radiation injury in mice impaired growth plate regeneration, resulting in more severe late complications. Conclusion Our findings demonstrate that autophagy is an important acute response to irradiation in growth plate chondrocytes, revealing a novel potential therapeutic target for preventing radiation-induced skeletal late complications.

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Developing a needs-based workforce plan for audiology services in England

Rajasingam, S. L.; Macdonald, P.; Sethi, J.; Taylor-Gonzalez, A.; Hall, A.; Meyenburg, I. T.

2026-08-18 health policy 10.64898/2026.08.17.26360374 medRxiv
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Background: Internationally, workforce planning models are focussed on balancing supply and demand, rarely addressing factors such as demographic shifts and evolving health needs. There is a clear imperative for improved workforce planning to ensure adequate staff numbers to deliver audiology safely and effectively but there is still no consensus on safe minimum staffing levels or the optimal skill mix for high-quality audiology services. Methods: This research aimed to establish markers of quality in audiology service provision and estimate the audiology workforce requirements to meet current and projected demand for services, based on population changes and anticipated changes in demand. Following stakeholder engagement, a needs-based model was developed by (1) analysing NHS England's national Audiology stocktake dataset to determine current workforce, (2) creating an epidemiological model to predict changes in service population over next 5 and 10 yrs (3) use of BAA endorsed estimates delivered in East of England on staff grade required per activity. [SR1.1] Results: The estimates for 10-year adult and paediatric audiology whole time equivalent (WTE) safe minimum staffing levels for England (bands 2-7, current waiting times maintained) based on a population change model (Model 1), and two further models for paediatrics specifically (Model 2 and Model 3) were as follows: for adult audiology Model 1 estimates a 7.40% increase by 2035 (to 1125.18 WTE). For paediatric audiology Model 1 estimates a -6.3% (to 593.47 WTE) decrease due to underlying paediatric population decline in England, whereas the case complexities considered in Model 2 (1072.33 WTE) and Model 3 estimate a 10-year increase of 71.23% ( to 1072.33 WTE) and 59.17% (to 996.82 WTE) respectively. Conclusions: This is the first study to conduct a needs-based assessment of workforce requirements for audiology services. Given the substantial need for audiology staff, investment in workforce recruitment and training is essential to ensure that future activity levels meet population needs. Consideration of changing demographics is required for planning future workforce specialisation. Further analysis to address workforce equity, the impact of changes in skill mix and service delivery models and local area demographics/prevalence variation is required alongside potential efficiencies.

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Cost Minimisation and Threshold Analysis of Anatomical Endoscopic Enucleation of the Prostate

Ong, J.; Lau, R.; Chow, K. M.; Huned, D.; Teo, R.; Lee, H. J.; Lim, E. J.; Aslim, E.; Lim, Y. W.; Chen, K.; Tan, Y. Q.; Park, J. J.; Tung, J.

2026-08-17 urology 10.64898/2026.08.15.26360519 medRxiv
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Introduction Anatomical endoscopic enucleation of the prostate (AEEP) techniques, including bipolar enucleation (B-TUEP), holmium laser enucleation (HoLEP), thulium laser enucleation (ThuLEP), and thulium fibre laser enucleation (ThuFLEP), demonstrate comparable clinical outcomes for benign prostatic hyperplasia. As clinical equivalence is increasingly established, cost becomes a key determinant of modality selection. We performed a cost minimisation analysis comparing index procedural costs across AEEP modalities from an institutional perspective. Methods A cost minimisation model was developed from the institutional perspective, incorporating amortised capital costs, maintenance, and consumables. In addition to the base-case scenario of 180 cases per year, we modelled two additional case volume scenarios: low (50 cases/year) and high (500 cases/year) volume. Thu:YAG laser fibres were modelled on two scenarios: disposable single-use, and reusable fibres (up to 10 cases per fibre). Breakeven analysis determined the threshold volume at which each laser modality achieves cost parity with B-TUEP, and one-way sensitivity analysis was performed on key cost parameters. Analysis was limited to index procedural costs calculated in Singapore dollars. Results At the base case of 180 cases per year, B-TUEP had the lowest index procedure cost (SGD 1,018), followed by ThuFLEP (SGD 1,584), ThuLEP (1,599), and HoLEP (SGD 1,655). Breakeven analysis demonstrated that HoLEP, ThuLEP, and ThuFLEP can never achieve cost parity with B-TUEP when laser fibres are single-use, as laser modalities carry higher costs on both capital and per-case dimensions. ThuLEP with reusable fibres (10 uses per fibre) was the only modality to cross below B-TUEP, at a breakeven volume of 198 cases per year. At 500 cases per year with reusable fibres, ThuLEP achieved the lowest cost (SGD 847), representing a 15.4% saving over B-TUEP. Sensitivity analysis identified annual case volume and B-TUEP loop cost as the most influential parameters. Conclusion Index procedural costs in AEEP are strongly influenced by case volume and consumable strategy. While B-TUEP remains cost-efficient at low volume, high-volume practice combined with reusable Thu:YAG fibre technology enables cost parity and potential cost advantage for laser enucleation. These findings highlight the importance of economies of scale and device utilisation in technology adoption.

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Rigorous Female Breast Cancer Phenotyping Using the All of Us Research Program

Qi, Y.; Lundy-Perez, K.; Gee, D. A.; Chambwe, N.

2026-08-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.07.26359972 medRxiv
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Objectives Accurate phenotyping of cases and controls is essential for studying biological and environmental contributors to disease in large biobanks. We aimed to develop a flexible, customizable, and reproducible electronic health record (EHR)-based phenotyping framework for identifying disease cases and generating matched control cohorts for downstream analyses. Here, we developed the Phenotyping Algorithm for Cases and matched Controls using EHR-based Rules (PACER). Materials and Methods Applying PACER to the All of Us Research Program Curated Data Repository v8.0, we identified female breast cancer (BC) cases identified among participants recorded as female at birth using at least two BC-associated diagnostic Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership concept IDs documented at least 30 days apart. A one-to-one matched control cohort was generated by jointly matching on sex, age, genetic ancestry, and state-level residency. Clinical, socioeconomic, and genomic data were integrated for analysis. Results We identified 10,225 BC cases and generated a control cohort of the same size matched for key demographic characteristics. Comparison with a phecodeX-based BC cohort showed 91.03% agreement. Among cases responding to relevant survey items, 80.86% self-reported a personal history of BC, compared to 1.89% of controls. We detected an enrichment of BC-associated GWAS catalog variants, pathogenic mutations in known risk genes, and higher polygenic risk scores in cases compared to controls. Discussion and Conclusion Concordance across a phecodeX-based cohort, self-reported survey responses, and genomic analyses supports the validity of PACER-defined cohorts. PACER is publicly available and readily adaptable to other diseases, supporting future research in risk modeling and precision medicine.